The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail — but Some Don't by Nate Silver
Penguin Press HC, The; 1 edition | September 27, 2012 | English | ISBN: 1594204111 | 679 pages | PDF | 21 MB
"Nate Silver's The Signal and the Noise is The Soul of a New Machine for the 21st century." —Rachel Maddow, author of Drift
Nate Silver built an innovative system for predicting baseball performance, predicted the 2008 election within a hair’s breadth, and became a national sensation as a blogger—all by the time he was thirty. He solidified his standing as the nation's foremost political forecaster with his near perfect prediction of the 2012 election. Silver is the founder and editor in chief of FiveThirtyEight.com.